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Understanding Market Trends For Plant-Based Meat Products And Forecasting Volume Sales For Beyond Meat, Beyond Meat’s Revenue Trends and Expectations, Estimating Beyond Meat’s Revenue Per Share, Calculating Trefis Stock Price Estimate of $95 Per Share for BYND’s Stock. (AP Photo/Mark Lennihan, File), EY & Citi On The Importance Of Resilience And Innovation, Impact 50: Investors Seeking Profit — And Pushing For Change, Michigan Economic Development Corporation BrandVoice. By clicking 'GO', you consent to Beyond Meat using your email address and postal code to receive emails about products, recipes and more. In my Beyond Meat valuation, I have implicitly made assumptions about both these components, by first allowing operating margins to converge on those of large food processing companies and then making Beyond Meat one of the winners in the meatless meat market, by giving it a 25% market share. Explore example interactive dashboards and create your own. Every person who tries it. sauce. That revenue number was … At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. In this May 2, 2019, file photo Ethan Brown, center, CEO of Beyond Meat, attends the Opening Bell... [+] ceremony with guests to celebrate the company's IPO at Nasdaq in New York. You can modify our key forecasts to arrive at your own price estimate for the company. Operating profit margin is expected to come in at 0% in 2019 and 1.2% in 2020, significantly higher than -31.8% in 2018. My defense of these assumptions is simple. Beyond Meat has been incurring operating losses since its inception, though the operating margins have witnessed continuous improvement due to the rising revenue base. Let's conquer your financial goals together...faster. Segment revenue increased from $3.84 million in 2016 to $37.16 million in 2018, driven by increasing sales of The Beyond Burger and Beyond Sausage offerings. Find out all the key statistics for Beyond Meat, Inc. (BYND), including valuation measures, fiscal year financial statistics, trading record, share statistics and more. Trefis is currently used by hundreds of thousands of investors, company employees, and business professionals. The key factors in our investment thesis for the company include healthy revenue growth potential (revenue base increased from $16.2 million in 2016 to $87.9 million in 2018), improving margins, aggressive expansion plans, and a continuous rise in the number of consumers preferring plant-based meat which would, in turn, drive volume growth going forward. It has been done in the past. See How it’s Powering New Collaboration and What-Ifs, For CFOs and Finance Teams | Product, R&D, and Marketing Teams. Trefis is launching coverage of Beyond Meat (NASDAQ: BYND), one of the fastest growing food companies in the world, offering a portfolio of plant-based meat products, with a price estimate of $95 per share. It's usually indicating that a company is gaining some scale in the marketplace. beyond meatballs ™ rolling out this month at whole foods, stop & shop, sprouts, harris teeter, kroger, albertsons and more. The market, Impossible Foods actually is good for Beyond Meat, if you get this concept, and Beyond Meat is good for Impossible Foods. View the Trefis interactive dashboard analysis on What’s Driving Our $95 Price Estimate For Beyond Meat? Meanwhile, margins are climbing now. Extent of Beyond Meat's Role in McDonald's McPlant Burger Questioned, 3 Key Things From Beyond Meat's Earnings Call That Investors Should Know, Copyright, Trademark and Patent Information. Sharma discusses an important metric that helps put the plant-based meat manufacturer's rich stock price in context. Beyond Meat (NASDAQ:BYND) is a consumer goods company that trades at valuation multiples worthy of some high-flying tech stocks. The current price of the firm is $142.04. According to a recent Nielsen report, annual U.S. sales of plant-based meat jumped 42 percent between March 2016 and March 2019 to a total of $888 million, compared to 1% growth of traditional meat. As a result of this linguistic mishap, shares of Beyond Meat collapsed at end of day Monday, with a nearly 29% loss in value. Sharma: Yes, just a really brief one, and then we'll get to questions here. I'm a CPA & CMA (Certified Management Accountant) & I tweet mostly about investing and literature. 19X sales, way more on a gross profit basis, but again, growing very, very quickly, trading about 10X forward sales. Cumulative Growth of a $10,000 Investment in Stock Advisor, Making Sense of Beyond Meat's Sky-High Valuation @themotleyfool #stocks $BYND $AYX, Impossible Foods CEO Says Beyond Meat Is Not a Competitor. What’s behind Trefis? Under this segment, the company sells its flagship plant-based meat products in meat cases through its retail partners, which include Albertsons, Kroger, Wegmans, and Whole Foods Market. The latter point is fundamental to Beyond Meat’s valuation, and it is not hard to see why. beyond breakfast sausage ® learn more go introducing plant-based links coming to the fresh meat aisle throughout october. We expect revenue to grow by more than 3.6x in the next two years, to about $185 million in 2020, driven by increasing brand awareness, rising volume, and domestic as well as international expansion plans. Beyond Meat Stock Valuation In the third quarter, Beyond Meat reported a 28-cent earnings per share loss and $94.4 million in revenue. © 2020 Forbes Media LLC. Beyond Meat Valuation Module provides a unique way to ballpark how much the company is worth today. BYND’s valuation Beyond Meat (BYND) is still in the growth phase of its business cycle. You may opt-out by. You can play with assumptions, or try scenarios, as-well-as ask questions to other users and experts. With the trend expected to continue, BYND is expected to add over 39 million pounds in volume over the next two years, driven by an increase in the sale of fresh meat. Under this segment, the company sells its flagship Beyond Burger and Beyond Sausages through approximately 12,000 restaurant and food service outlets – including BurgerFi, Bareburger, Carl’s Jr., Del Taco, TGI Fridays, and A&W Canada – in the United States and Canada. This company needs to get its gross profit margins above 50%. What’s Driving Our $95 Price Estimate For Beyond Meat? We are valuing BYND at about 16x projected FY’20 revenue per share, significantly lower than its current trading multiple of 54x. I love Brazilian pop music, wok experimentation, running trails in Chuck Taylors, & travel -- or at least daydreaming of travel. Increasing sales from both its retail and restaurant and food service (R&F) outlet divisions, is likely to add a whopping $270 million in revenue over the next two years. This might include you though you may have invested money in these companies, or may have been working with one of them for years as an employee, or have consulted with them as an expert for a long time. When you have two upstarts in an industry, actually, it's good for both of them as long as one just doesn't swamp the other. They've got to land a punch on Brian's checklist, but they're headed in the right direction, and I believe that, with increased distribution, again, this is a one to two, three-year project with increased distribution in Asia, where I think they've got some really interesting potential, they can get there. (AP Photo/Mark Lennihan, File). Founded in 1993 by brothers Tom and David Gardner, The Motley Fool helps millions of people attain financial freedom through our website, podcasts, books, newspaper column, radio show, and premium investing services. You're going to try the other if you try one. I've been talking about this relationship between gross profit margin and price to sales. Now that we know how much the company has to generate to … In addition, here is more Consumer Staples data. That's still not a great gross profit margin. Trefis’ stock price estimate of $95 per share for Beyond Meat’s stock is much lower than its current market price of $160, suggesting that the stock is currently overvalued. Surprisingly, the founders of Trefis discovered that along with most other people they just did not understand even the seemingly familiar companies around them: Apple, Google, Coca Cola, Walmart, GE, Ford, Gap, and others.
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